Venture performance declined slowly, and then suddenly in 2022.
Jan 17, 2023 — 2 min read
2022 began with fears of a downturn in the early-stage market after the historic highs of 2021, and ended with those fears fully realized. Activity rate (the share of startups that raised a round or exited) and positive activity (the share of startups that raised a round or exited at a valuation increase) fell by 5 percentage points in 2022 over the previous year—but that stat obscures the severity of the decline in the latter half of 2022.
4Q22 ended with a positive activity rate of 67%, a 17 percentage point decline from the start of the year. 4Q22’s activity rate of 7.4% was a 4.2 percentage point decline from 1Q22. In short, fewer startups went out to raise in the latter half of 2022, and of those that did, a significantly smaller percentage raised at a markup.
These increasingly less favorable market conditions for startups may be good news for investors. While median and average valuations increased YoY, they showed marked declines in 4Q22, indicating the market is becoming more buyer-friendly.
The 2022 State of U.S. Early-Stage Venture & Startups report is written in collaboration with data partner Silicon Valley Bank. Our combined datasets offer detailed insight into how capital flowed into and out of early-stage startups in 2022.
Additional key findings from this quarter’s report include:
All data referenced in this material is current as of 1/1/23, unless otherwise mentioned. Charts and graphs provided within are for informational purposes solely and should not be relied upon when making any investment decision and does not constitute an offer of any kind. Past performance is not indicative of future results. The content speaks only as of the date indicated. We undertake no obligations to update them in the future. Any projections, estimates, forecasts, targets, prospects, and/or opinions expressed in these materials are subject to change without notice and may differ or be contrary to opinions expressed by others.